Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.022422 0.024089 0.025826 0.027771 0.029892 0.032137 0.034695
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.019869 0.022300 0.024967 0.028116 0.031747 0.035812 0.040730
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017771 0.020600 0.023822 0.027783 0.032545 0.038120 0.045184
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016315 0.019408 0.023042 0.027657 0.033404 0.040384 0.049586
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015032 0.018272 0.022176 0.027273 0.033814 0.042012 0.053199
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014168 0.017556 0.021735 0.027328 0.034703 0.044219 0.057628
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013252 0.016696 0.021031 0.026960 0.034968 0.045571 0.060947
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012383 0.015834 0.020255 0.026421 0.034931 0.046466 0.063640
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011726 0.015204 0.019735 0.026172 0.035241 0.047816 0.067021
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011132 0.014619 0.019235 0.025904 0.035486 0.049055 0.070286
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010490 0.013934 0.018556 0.025338 0.035252 0.049565 0.072458
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010179 0.013685 0.018461 0.025585 0.036194 0.051832 0.077452
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009805 0.013333 0.018206 0.025590 0.036786 0.053621 0.081849
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009552 0.013140 0.018166 0.025903 0.037851 0.056190 0.087689
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009136 0.012691 0.017733 0.025600 0.037942 0.057226 0.091052
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008804 0.012350 0.017437 0.025486 0.038311 0.058713 0.095268
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008431 0.011931 0.017008 0.025138 0.038281 0.059536 0.098372
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008189 0.011695 0.016840 0.025187 0.038889 0.061437 0.103514
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007864 0.011321 0.016445 0.024853 0.038841 0.062219 0.106667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007520 0.010905 0.015968 0.024363 0.038503 0.062474 0.108845
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007260 0.010608 0.015663 0.024137 0.038594 0.063473 0.112491
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007011 0.010319 0.015357 0.023894 0.038639 0.064386 0.116024
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006713 0.009943 0.014902 0.023379 0.038182 0.064360 0.117696